Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
BRI
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ULS
3 - 0
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 1
FCS
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
MEL
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 4
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
5 - 3
ADE
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
FCT
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
3 - 3
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ULS
2 - 0
PER
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |