Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 0
SUW
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BRI
5 - 0
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 2
MEL
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
MEL
8%
15%
77%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
WES
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 2
WPH
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 2
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |