Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
3 - 4
WES
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 0
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
1 - 0
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
1 - 0
WUF
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WES
1 - 2
MCI
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MCI
8 - 0
PER
64%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MCI
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
55%
22%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |