Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ULS
3 - 0
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 1
FCS
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
MEL
39%
23%
38%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
BEI
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
3 - 1
MEL
73%
17%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 2
WUF
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 7
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
WUF
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |