Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
12º
11º
42
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 2
MCI
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
3 - 1
WPH
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
MEL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 4
WES
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MCI
3 - 3
ADE
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
ADE
1 - 0
MFC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |