FC Melbourne Knights vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1995 |
ADE
0 - 2
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
MEL
3 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
MEL
1 - 2
ADE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SOU
5 - 4
MEL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
MEL
3 - 2
SOU
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
SYD
1 - 3
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
SOU
5 - 1
GIF
61%
20%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
GIF
0 - 1
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SOU
5 - 4
MEL
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |