FC Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
OAK
3 - 1
MEL
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 2
DAN
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 2
MEL
9%
15%
77%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 1
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
STA
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
HEU
1 - 2
GRE
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
WOL
2 - 3
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HUM
0 - 2
GRE
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
STA
79%
14%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 4
BEN
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -3 |