FC Melbourne Knights vs Green Gully Cavaliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
OAK
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HEU
2 - 2
MEL
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 2
AVH
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HUM
2 - 3
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 2
ELS
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Green Gully Cavaliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
4 - 0
ALM
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 3
OAK
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
HEU
1 - 0
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 2
DAN
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |