Melbourne Heart vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Heart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 1
BRI
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 1
CCM
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 3
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
WES
1 - 2
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CCM
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |