Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 2
MEL
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
PER
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MCI
0 - 1
WUF
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
HUM
0 - 1
MCI
4%
11%
86%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 2
MCI
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
ADE
4 - 0
WPH
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SYD
2 - 1
WPH
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
AVH
1 - 4
WPH
6%
14%
80%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
WPH
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
WES
0 - 1
WPH
5%
13%
82%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |