Melbourne City vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MCI
2 - 2
CCM
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 3
MCI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 2
ADE
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
5 - 2
MCI
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SYD
0 - 0
MEL
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ADE
0 - 0
SYD
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SYD
2 - 0
CCM
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 2
SYD
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 3
ADE
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |