Melbourne City vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
30
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 2
MCI
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
MCI
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 1
WUF
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 2
WPH
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 2
PER
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WES
1 - 0
PER
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
GCK
0 - 4
PER
7%
15%
78%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | +1 |