Melbourne City vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 1
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 0
MCI
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 1
MCI
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
SYD
1 - 0
MCI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 0
WUF
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 1
PER
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
WUF
5 - 4
PER
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PER
5 - 3
ADE
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
FCT
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
3 - 3
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |