Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
MCI
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 0
MCI
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
MCI
4 - 1
ADE
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
PER
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
CCM
0 - 2
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |