Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 0
MCI
29%
25%
46%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
2 - 0
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
MCI
0 - 3
SYD
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CCM
1 - 1
MCI
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
MCI
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
WES
0 - 2
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 1
MEL
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ADE
1 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |