Melbourne City vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
44
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SYD
2 - 1
MCI
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
MCI
27%
25%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MCI
4 - 0
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MCI
2 - 2
WPH
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 2
MCI
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 3
MFC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WES
0 - 3
CCM
36%
26%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |