Med City vs Aris analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.8%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.2%
1.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Med City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
MEC
1 - 2
MIN
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 7
MEC
6%
13%
81%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
JOY
0 - 1
MEC
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MEC
4 - 1
DAK
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MEC
1 - 4
DUL
59%
19%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Aris
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 4
DAK
9%
13%
78%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 7
MEC
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SFT
2 - 2
ARI
87%
9%
4%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
DUL
6 - 0
ARI
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
3 - 0
ARI
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 42 | 36 | 0 |