Mdina Knights vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mdina Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ZUR
2 - 1
MDI
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
KIR
0 - 1
MDI
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MDI
2 - 0
VEN
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 1
MDI
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MDI
0 - 2
ZAB
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
KIR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
MAR
7%
16%
78%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 4
MAR
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
MEL
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ZAB
1 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |