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Liga de Fútbol Amateur de Rusia. Moscow oblast, Matchday 5

Sergiyev Posad vs Znamya Noginsk II analysis

Sergiyev Posad Znamya Noginsk II
14 ELO 15
90% Tilt -49%
29505º General ELO ranking 30141º
418º Country ELO ranking 451º
ELO win probability
82.4%
Sergiyev Posad
12.5%
Draw
5.1%
Znamya Noginsk II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
Sergiyev Posad
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.1%
Win probability
Znamya Noginsk II
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Balashikha
75
75
100%
Peresvet
71
73
100%
Zorkiy
61
61
100%
Zvyagino Pushkino
57
57
50%
Olimp Balashikha
57
57
50%
Sergiyev Posad
53
53
100%
Dolgoprudny II
47
47
50%
Metallist Korolev
47
47
50%
Vityaz Noginsk
44
44
100%
Kobart Lobnya
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Legion Ivanteyevka
11º
35
35
11º
100%
Znamya Noginsk II
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Lyubertsy
13º
24
24
14º
50%
Mbus Ssh Saturn
14º
24
24
13º
50%
Prialit
15º
12
13
15º
100%
Saturn II
16º
9
9
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sergiyev Posad
Znamya Noginsk II
Next phase
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sergiyev Posad
SER
Znamya Noginsk II
FZN
Prialit
FPR
Zorkiy
ZOR
Metallist Korolev
FMK
Saturn II
SAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sergiyev Posad
Sergiyev Posad
1%
X%
2%
ELO SER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
FPR
Prialit
1 - 7
Sergiyev Posad
SER
46%
27%
27%
204 190 -14 +2
31 Oct. 2020
SER
Sergiyev Posad
1 - 0
Balashikha
BAL
45%
27%
29%
221 319 -98 +1
24 Oct. 2020
FLP
Losino-Petrovsky
0 - 1
Sergiyev Posad
SER
46%
27%
27%
220 200 -20 +1
17 Oct. 2020
SER
Sergiyev Posad
4 - 0
Legion Ivanteyevka
FLI
46%
27%
27%
218 221 -3 +2
10 Oct. 2020
FKP
Peresvet II
3 - 1
Sergiyev Posad
SER
46%
27%
27%
220 216 -4 -2

Matches

Znamya Noginsk II
Znamya Noginsk II
1%
X%
2%
ELO FZN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
FZN
Znamya Noginsk II
0 - 3
Lyubertsy
FKL
47%
27%
26%
209 176 33 -2