Mbeya City vs Ruvu Shooting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
13º
13º
20
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
MBE
34%
29%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
MBE
32%
29%
40%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
2 - 0
MBE
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MBE
1 - 0
MTI
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 2
MBE
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ruvu Shooting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
RUV
0 - 1
KAG
29%
28%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
GGF
3 - 2
RUV
59%
25%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RUV
2 - 1
KMC
32%
29%
39%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
RUV
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
RUV
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |