Mbeya City vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
13º
13º
33
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
MBE
2 - 1
NAM
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
RUV
0 - 1
MBE
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MBE
3 - 1
POL
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 1
IFC
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 2
MBE
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 2
COA
41%
30%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
GGF
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
COA
2 - 0
KAG
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
RUV
2 - 1
COA
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 0
COA
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |