Mbeya City vs Azam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
13º
13º
59
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 1
MBE
33%
30%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SBS
2 - 1
MBE
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 3
MBE
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 1
NAM
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 1
YOU
32%
31%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Azam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 2
AZA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 1
GGF
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 1
KAG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
AZA
4 - 1
BUM
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DJF
0 - 2
AZA
35%
30%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |