Mbarara City vs Maroons FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SCV
2 - 1
MCF
47%
27%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
MCF
5 - 0
GAD
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
MCF
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MCF
1 - 0
JIN
54%
23%
22%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 0
MCF
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Maroons FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
EXP
45%
25%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
NEC
2 - 1
MFC
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
KIT
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
URA
2 - 0
MFC
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 0
BUL
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |