Mbarara City vs Bright Stars FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
KYE
1 - 3
MCF
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 0
UGA
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
VIP
2 - 3
MCF
50%
25%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
MCF
2 - 1
OND
57%
22%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
MCF
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bright Stars FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
VIP
43%
27%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
OND
0 - 0
BRI
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BUL
0 - 1
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
MCF
44%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |