Mbao vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
MBA
2 - 0
LFC
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 0
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 0
COA
29%
29%
43%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 0
MBA
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2020 |
TAN
0 - 0
MBA
58%
26%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
MTI
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
MTI
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
SUT
1 - 3
MTI
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
COA
0 - 0
MTI
43%
31%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MTI
1 - 1
BUM
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |