Mattersburg vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mattersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 0
KAP
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
4 - 0
WIE
88%
9%
3%
|
67 | 34 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 3
MAT
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 1
NIT
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 0
SZO
48%
24%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
UTA
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
STR
2 - 1
DAC
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
STR
1 - 1
SLI
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 3
STR
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
STR
0 - 1
RBS
40%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |