Mathare United vs Nzoia Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIU
1 - 2
MAT
48%
28%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 1
BAN
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
POS
2 - 2
MAT
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
MUH
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
NZO
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nzoia Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
NZO
0 - 1
KAS
35%
29%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NZO
1 - 1
KAK
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
KAS
4 - 1
NZO
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
NZO
39%
28%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NZO
2 - 0
AFC
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |