Matera vs Akragas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
BAR
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
FCS
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
MAT
53%
26%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Akragas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 4
AKR
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AKR
11 - 1
VIG
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 2
AKR
71%
19%
9%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
AKR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AKR
6 - 0
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |