Masters Security vs Civil Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Masters Security
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MSS
0 - 1
CHU
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SIL
2 - 0
MSS
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MSS
2 - 1
MPO
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MSS
1 - 3
KUN
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MSS
0 - 1
KAM
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Civil Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
NUF
2 - 1
EPA
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MWF
2 - 0
EPA
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
TNS
0 - 1
EPA
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BLU
2 - 1
EPA
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
EPA
2 - 0
KAM
47%
26%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |