Marz vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
SIG
2 - 2
MAR
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
5 - 2
STI
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FCW
1 - 4
MAR
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
MAR
9 - 0
SCB
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
MAR
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
SCB
2 - 7
STM
12%
19%
69%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
STM
2 - 1
HOR
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 4
STM
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
PAR
37%
23%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
STM
3 - 2
BAU
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |