Martina Franca vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+145%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
MAR
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASD
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MAR
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 4
FON
82%
13%
6%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASM
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 0
USP
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
GAV
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GAV
1 - 1
FOL
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 3
GAV
58%
23%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
CAM
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |