Non League Premier Norte. Jor. 4

Marske United vs Ashton United analysis

Marske United Ashton United
45 ELO 37
0.3% Tilt 10.3%
6872º General ELO ranking 4761º
334º Country ELO ranking 202º
ELO win probability
66.3%
Marske United
19.8%
Draw
13.9%
Ashton United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
Marske United
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.8%
Win probability
Ashton United
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marske United
+5%
+45%
Ashton United

Points and table prediction

Marske United
Their league position
Ashton United
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
18º
18º
51
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Shields
85
85
100%
Warrington Town
75
75
100%
Bamber Bridge
74
74
100%
Gainsborough Trinity
70
70
100%
Hyde
67
67
100%
Radcliffe Borough
67
67
100%
Matlock Town
66
66
100%
United of Manchester
61
64
100%
Marine
62
62
100%
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
10º
60
62
10º
100%
Stafford Rangers
11º
57
57
11º
100%
Guiseley
12º
56
56
12º
100%
Lancaster City
13º
56
56
13º
100%
Ashton United
15º
51
54
14º
100%
Whitby Town
14º
52
52
15º
100%
Atherton Collieries
17º
49
49
16º
100%
Morpeth Town
16º
49
48
17º
100%
Marske United
18º
48
48
18º
100%
Nantwich Town
19º
44
44
19º
100%
Stalybridge Celtic
20º
41
41
20º
100%
Liversedge
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Belper Town FC
22º
30
30
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marske United
Ashton United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Marske United
Ashton United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marske United
Marske United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
RAD
Radcliffe Borough
2 - 4
Marske United
MAR
21%
22%
57%
45 34 11 0
16 Aug. 2022
BAM
Bamber Bridge
2 - 2
Marske United
MAR
26%
23%
51%
45 36 9 0
13 Aug. 2022
MAR
Marske United
3 - 1
Belper Town FC
BEL
74%
17%
9%
45 32 13 0
23 Jul. 2022
SHI
Shildon AFC
1 - 3
Marske United
MAR
11%
16%
74%
45 28 17 0
12 Jul. 2022
MAR
Marske United
0 - 3
Hartlepool United
HAR
24%
23%
53%
45 53 8 0

Matches

Ashton United
Ashton United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
ASH
Ashton United
3 - 1
Warrington Rylands 1906 FC
RYL
30%
25%
44%
35 41 6 0
16 Aug. 2022
ASH
Ashton United
1 - 1
South Shields
SOU
27%
26%
47%
34 42 8 +1
13 Aug. 2022
LIV
Liversedge
0 - 1
Ashton United
ASH
68%
19%
14%
33 41 8 +1
02 Aug. 2022
ASH
Ashton United
0 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
13%
20%
67%
33 52 19 0
26 Jul. 2022
ASH
Ashton United
0 - 1
Widnes
WID
56%
24%
21%
34 30 4 -1
X