Marsala vs Portici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 3
BAR
10%
22%
68%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 1
POR
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MES
0 - 1
POR
69%
17%
15%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ROC
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |