Apertura Guatemala round 20

Marquense vs Malacateco analysis

Marquense Malacateco
64 ELO 63
12.2% Tilt -18.8%
2757º General ELO ranking 2650º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
52.3%
Marquense
24.3%
Draw
23.3%
Malacateco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
Marquense
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.3%
Win probability
Malacateco
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marquense
+8%
-9%
Malacateco

ELO progression

Marquense
Malacateco
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marquense
Marquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2012
HAL
Halcones
1 - 0
Marquense
LEO
59%
23%
18%
64 64 0 0
04 Nov. 2012
ESC
Juventud Escuintleca
2 - 1
Marquense
LEO
41%
28%
31%
64 58 6 0
01 Nov. 2012
LEO
Marquense
1 - 1
Suchitepequez
VEN
55%
24%
21%
64 64 0 0
28 Oct. 2012
CON
Mictlán
1 - 0
Marquense
LEO
44%
29%
28%
64 62 2 0
20 Oct. 2012
LEO
Marquense
1 - 1
Deportivo Petapa
DEP
54%
24%
22%
64 64 0 0

Matches

Malacateco
Malacateco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Nov. 2012
TOR
Malacateco
5 - 0
Deportivo Petapa
DEP
49%
26%
25%
64 64 0 0
04 Nov. 2012
TOR
Malacateco
1 - 1
Municipal
MUN
49%
26%
25%
64 64 0 0
01 Nov. 2012
CHI
Xelajú
1 - 1
Malacateco
TOR
50%
25%
25%
64 64 0 0
28 Oct. 2012
TOR
Malacateco
1 - 1
Universidad San Carlos
UNI
57%
24%
20%
64 60 4 0
21 Oct. 2012
HER
Heredia
2 - 0
Malacateco
TOR
55%
23%
22%
64 64 0 0