1a Apertura Finals . Quarter-finals

Global 1-1

Marquense vs Aurora FC analysis

Marquense Aurora FC
48 ELO 46
-11.1% Tilt -20.1%
3898º General ELO ranking 4284º
18º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Marquense
24.8%
Draw
22.1%
Aurora FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
Marquense
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.1%
Win probability
Aurora FC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marquense
+4%
-8%
Aurora FC

ELO progression

Marquense
Aurora FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marquense
Marquense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2021
AUR
Aurora FC
0 - 1
Marquense
LEO
37%
28%
35%
47 47 0 0
07 Nov. 2021
LEO
Marquense
1 - 1
Juventud Pinulteca
JUP
49%
23%
28%
48 44 4 -1
03 Nov. 2021
JUP
Juventud Pinulteca
1 - 2
Marquense
LEO
43%
25%
33%
47 45 2 +1
31 Oct. 2021
ESC
Escuintla
1 - 1
Marquense
LEO
31%
28%
41%
47 39 8 0
24 Oct. 2021
LEO
Marquense
3 - 0
Coatepecano IB
COA
59%
23%
18%
46 43 3 +1

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Nov. 2021
AUR
Aurora FC
0 - 1
Marquense
LEO
37%
28%
35%
47 47 0 0
31 Oct. 2021
AUR
Aurora FC
0 - 0
Zacapa
ZAC
45%
28%
27%
47 45 2 0
24 Oct. 2021
SAC
Sacachispas
1 - 1
Aurora FC
AUR
54%
26%
20%
47 50 3 0
16 Oct. 2021
AUR
Aurora FC
0 - 0
Chimaltenango
CHI
57%
26%
17%
47 39 8 0
13 Oct. 2021
JUP
Juventud Pinulteca
0 - 1
Aurora FC
AUR
55%
24%
22%
46 46 0 +1
X