Mármol Macael vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
MIJ
2 - 1
MMA
66%
21%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
MMA
1 - 0
MAL
38%
29%
33%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
AMA
1 - 0
MMA
88%
10%
3%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
MMA
0 - 1
UDS
43%
27%
30%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
ANT
0 - 0
MMA
69%
20%
12%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
RJA
0 - 0
VIL
89%
9%
2%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
EST
0 - 3
RJA
17%
25%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
RJA
1 - 0
ZUB
82%
13%
5%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
BEN
2 - 1
RJA
13%
23%
64%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
RJA
3 - 0
UBE
86%
11%
4%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |