Market Drayton Town vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
77.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Market Drayton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CLI
8%
17%
76%
|
5 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 41 | 35 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
TRA
9%
18%
73%
|
6 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 5
WID
9%
18%
74%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
GLO
3 - 2
MAR
84%
12%
5%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 0
RUN
33%
24%
43%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RUN
1 - 2
WOR
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
RUN
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
RAM
1 - 3
RUN
32%
23%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |