Durban City vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
BLO
2 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
GOL
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
42%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AMA
3 - 2
MAR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
AMA
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PIR
1 - 1
SWA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SWA
3 - 2
AJA
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AMA
2 - 2
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AJA
0 - 0
SWA
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
SWA
2 - 3
AJA
39%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |