Marítimo vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
MAR
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 2
FCP
20%
27%
53%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 2
PEN
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 0
MAR
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAV
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NAV
1 - 0
RIO
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 2
BOA
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |