Taça da Liga . Semi-finals

Marítimo vs Porto analysis

Marítimo Porto
77 ELO 88
-2.9% Tilt 1.9%
1362º General ELO ranking 79º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.1%
Marítimo
22.5%
Draw
59.4%
Porto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.4%
Win probability
Porto
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marítimo
+11%
+7%
Porto

ELO progression

Marítimo
Porto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2015
MOR
Moreirense
1 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
34%
27%
39%
76 73 3 0
15 Mar. 2015
MAR
Marítimo
0 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
24%
24%
52%
76 85 9 0
08 Mar. 2015
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 1
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
77 78 1 -1
27 Feb. 2015
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
1 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
49%
26%
25%
76 79 3 +1
22 Feb. 2015
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 2
Os Belenenses
BEL
51%
25%
24%
77 73 4 -1

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Mar. 2015
NAC
Nacional
1 - 1
Porto
FCP
20%
23%
58%
88 75 13 0
15 Mar. 2015
FCP
Porto
1 - 0
Arouca
ARO
79%
15%
7%
88 68 20 0
10 Mar. 2015
FCP
Porto
4 - 0
Basel
BAS
59%
22%
19%
88 83 5 0
06 Mar. 2015
SPB
Sporting Braga
0 - 1
Porto
FCP
36%
25%
39%
88 85 3 0
01 Mar. 2015
FCP
Porto
3 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
53%
23%
24%
88 86 2 0
X