Taça de Portugal . Last 16
Global 11-2
Marítimo vs Clube Sportivo Mindelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CSM
2 - 4
MAR
43%
21%
36%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1959 |
MAR
1 - 3
LGC
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
MAR
50%
20%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
MAR
82%
11%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCP
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Clube Sportivo Mindelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CSM
2 - 4
MAR
43%
21%
36%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |