Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 0
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 3
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ARO
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
GFC
0 - 5
SLB
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
49%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |