Marítimo II vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
5º
31
3º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 2
MAR
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
BMA
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
RES
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
4 - 1
GUA
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAM
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
GON
32%
28%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAM
68%
21%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
REB
61%
20%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |