Mariscal vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
CIP
4 - 2
MBB
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2001 |
MBB
6 - 2
SAC
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
MBB
2 - 2
JWI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
OPE
1 - 2
MBB
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
MBB
1 - 2
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2001 |
STR
3 - 1
OPE
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 2
STR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
STR
4 - 0
RPO
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 0
STR
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
STR
2 - 5
IBE
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |