Mariscal vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
MBB
2 - 2
JWI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
OPE
1 - 2
MBB
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
MBB
1 - 2
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
GUA
4 - 0
MBB
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MBB
2 - 1
IBE
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 2
OPE
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
BOL
6 - 0
SAC
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 1
RPO
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
IBE
3 - 1
SAC
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 2
BLO
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |