Mariscal vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2000 |
MBB
1 - 2
JWI
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
OPE
1 - 0
MBB
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
MBB
2 - 2
STR
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
MBB
1 - 0
RPO
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CIP
0 - 1
MBB
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2000 |
SAC
1 - 1
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2000 |
STR
5 - 0
SAC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 2
SAC
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
SAC
3 - 0
RPO
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
SAC
2 - 1
CIP
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |