Marino vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+110%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
8º
14º
13º
16
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAN
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
CDM
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +4 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
39%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
CSU
43%
26%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
EST
0 - 1
CDT
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
UDS
2 - 0
EST
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
EST
2 - 2
YAI
53%
23%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UPR
6 - 0
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 0
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |