Marino vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
UPR
3 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAN
46%
23%
32%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
YAI
3 - 3
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 3
CDT
47%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
VER
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
YAI
50%
25%
25%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CDB
1 - 0
EST
43%
26%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
EST
4 - 0
TEL
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SDT
1 - 2
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |