Marinhense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
IDA
1 - 2
MAR
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
SER
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
IDA
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
GDF
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 3
RIO
4%
14%
83%
|
27 | 72 | 45 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
VVR
0 - 3
VIT
12%
16%
72%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |