Marinhense vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
MAR
37%
23%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
COV
13%
20%
68%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 1
ALC
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDL
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
OLE
2 - 2
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 1
UDL
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BEN
3 - 1
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALC
1 - 1
VIT
26%
22%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
4 - 4
OLE
33%
26%
42%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |